Monday, December 23, 2019

Bye Bye Bayes…


                                           
One tidbit I found especially interesting/surprising (and had never heard about) from David Spiegelhalter’s current “The Art of Statistics” volume, is that Bayes' Theorem or Bayesian inference/reasoning has been banned in British courts… yeah, you read that right Nate Silver, BANNED in court! ;)  As if statistics weren’t confused and misused enough by lawyers, one of the most common and vaunted modern approaches to probability isn’t even allowed, and this decision goes back at least 8 years.

Here are a few of the links that talk about the decision:





If any of our friends from across the pond can tell us more about how much controversy or debate this prohibition has produced in UK (or is it 'settled law' at this point?) I’d be curious to hear.


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