(AMS Bumper Sticker)



Web math-frolic.blogspot.com

Wednesday, October 1, 2014

Bayes-mania


Seeing an awful lot written on Bayesian ideas in the last year (and week!).
Jason Rosenhouse uses the Monty Hall problem and a NY Times article as a launching point for a discussion of the subtlety of Bayes here:

http://scienceblogs.com/evolutionblog/2014/10/01/a-poor-description-of-the-monty-hall-problem/

Rosenhouse takes the Times' article to task, and ends simply with:
"Applying statistics correctly is hard, even for people with professional training in the subject. But the problems are found in the complexity of real-life situations, and not in the underlying philosophical approaches to probability and statistics."
(Rosenhouse's 2009 book on the The Monty Hall problem is great, by the way, if you've never read it -- yes, an entire volume on that one problem)

Meanwhile, The Guardian also presented Bayesian statistics this week: http://tinyurl.com/ojjazs4

And in other statistics briefs, Jeff Leek tries to come to the defense of much-maligned p-values here:
http://simplystatistics.org/2014/09/30/you-think-p-values-are-bad-i-say-show-me-the-data/ 

No comments: