Stats and Primes...

Today, a couple of statistics-related readings from the latest John Brockman/Edge volume, "What Should We Be Worried About?"

1) Bart Kosko on what he deems five "lamplight probabilities" that help explain the world we observe, but also limit our analysis, and 'especially restrict modern Bayesian inference':

http://edge.org/response-detail/23856

2) And Nassim Taleb talking about one of his favorite subjects, "fat tails," and why "having skin in the game" is a necessary component for honest, accurate measurement of risk:

http://edge.org/response-detail/23839

...In other matters, an update on the twin-prime conjecture, now down to an upper bound of 252 (from the original approach based on Zhang's work):

http://tinyurl.com/m3pt98s